Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 10.344337 11.930100 13.632608 15.591108 17.776397 20.134211 22.864926
2025-08-10 7.894383 9.964216 12.348868 15.279168 18.761464 22.745295 27.624017
2025-08-17 6.378002 8.640240 11.392527 14.946977 19.371458 24.651030 31.376101
2025-08-24 5.308032 7.649624 10.635773 14.658099 19.861714 26.288534 34.738434
2025-08-31 4.419046 6.748492 9.851582 14.194765 20.010817 27.415738 37.424176
2025-09-07 3.894753 6.261089 9.536146 14.274173 20.808032 29.341971 41.144006
2025-09-14 3.442577 5.812426 9.213190 14.287321 21.476595 31.087614 44.657301
2025-09-21 3.104322 5.486808 9.022014 14.447450 22.324400 33.075826 48.536535
2025-09-28 2.772379 5.128388 8.741541 14.440840 22.912253 34.706657 51.964242
2025-10-05 2.575444 4.961108 8.727792 14.813187 24.044049 37.115922 56.527219
2025-10-12 2.374516 4.762473 8.642805 15.060255 24.988233 39.278749 60.801191
2025-10-19 2.162476 4.519266 8.461909 15.136808 25.666383 41.068242 64.586559
2025-10-26 1.880522 4.121622 7.997875 14.736941 25.603228 41.784773 66.874037
2025-11-02 1.651737 3.793415 7.619843 14.444258 25.680046 42.697101 69.462624
2025-11-09 1.447612 3.485580 7.247011 14.127245 25.689056 43.490429 71.880392
2025-11-16 1.274249 3.215720 6.915522 13.851539 25.739201 44.332697 74.379416
2025-11-23 1.100354 2.920191 6.507879 13.409423 25.482771 44.675686 76.112885
2025-11-30 1.008369 2.789004 6.397668 13.485186 26.088213 46.382570 79.979817
2025-12-07 0.918522 2.650270 6.259551 13.497731 26.580202 47.916966 83.613039
2025-12-14 0.851742 2.556007 6.200771 13.650522 27.315593 49.859869 87.932941
2025-12-21 0.775882 2.429153 6.063769 13.644215 27.766791 51.347612 91.564137
2025-12-28 0.738957 2.394207 6.114614 13.999551 28.870923 53.937831 97.018848
2026-01-04 0.694498 2.333816 6.105652 14.235372 29.766085 56.202525 102.000185